In academic year 2023-2024, OIRA developed statistical models to identify factors that predict North Star completion to provide decision support to enhance student success, operational efficiency, and strategic planning. This report presents an analysis of what predicts first-time-in-college (FTIC) students’ three-year North Star completion and two components of North Star completion: graduation and transfer. The study used logistic regression and included data from six FTIC cohorts spanning from fall 2015 to fall 2020. It considered factors related to student demographic information, high school performance, residency, socioeconomic status, academic details at entry (e.g., dual credits, educational intent, college readiness, area of study, and enrollment intensity), where they took ACC courses, and financial aid information. The results demonstrate that the factors considered were significant predictors of the outcomes.
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